New polling reveals which way Scotland would vote in the 2020 US presidential election
New polling has revealed how Scotland would vote if it had a say in the United States presidential election.
The battle between incumbent president Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden will come to a close on Tuesday night, with the result of the election expected in the early hours of Wednesday morning (UK time).
However, new polling from Hanbury Strategy for Politico shows that not one of Scotland’s constituencies would vote for Mr Trump.
East Dunbartonshire and Edinburgh South are Scotland’s most heavily Biden-supporting areas, and are also top of the Biden-supporting list across the whole of the UK.
In bad news for President Trump’s personal links to Scotland, both constituencies home to his two golf courses in Turnberry and Balmedie would vote strongly against him.
Those living in the constituency of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock, which includes Turnberry, would vote for Mr Biden 78.7 per cent of the time, with Mr Trump receiving 21.3 per cent of the vote.
In Gordon, home to his golf course in Aberdeenshire, people would vote for Mr Trump just 21.9 per cent of the time, with Mr Biden receiving support of 78.1 per cent of the population.
The strongest Trump support is found further north in the constituency of Banff and Buchan, which would see Mr Trump’s vote share rise to 28 per cent.
Moray and Angus would also see relatively high support for Mr Trump, with voters choosing the president 24.9 and 23.6 per cent of the time.
The incumbent president would find more trouble gaining support in the Central Belt and parts of the Highlands and Islands.
East Dunbartonshire, the most pro-Biden part of the UK, and Edinburgh South, the second most pro-Biden constituency, would provide the Democratic nominee with 85.3 per cent and 83.7 per cent of the vote respectively.
Edinburgh West (83 per cent in support of Biden), Fife North East (82 per cent) and Renfrewshire East (82 per cent) are also amongst the highest support for Biden in the UK.
Unfortunately for Mr Trump, even his ancestral home of the Western Isles would rather see Joe Biden in the White House following the election, with just 18.8 per cent of islanders supporting the president.
The full constituency breakdown of the polling can be found on Politico’s website here.
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